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WorldbyFlow for climate risk analysts

Climate risk is a cascade, and a heat map cannot show one. WorldbyFlow names the single points of failure in a system and walks the cascade explicitly, grounded against public climate data, and reads the scenarios and the interventions beside it, so your assessment shows the path from hazard to loss.

Written for Assesses physical or transition climate risk for a firm or insurer.·Runs in the Climate domain

Start with this one

Where this fits in your week

Assessing physical or transition risk for a firm or an insurer means connecting a hazard to a balance sheet through a chain of events. The scans here build the chain: a risk cascade, scenario branches with named assumptions and triggers, a map of where the real uncertainty sits, a read on the phenomenon itself, and a read on the intervention being proposed against it.

Lead scan

Risk Cascade

3 credits · deep dive · about 3–6 min

Single points of failure named and the cascade walked from hazard to loss, grounded against public climate data. The risk read that shows the mechanism.

Try it on: a subject you already hold an opinion about, so you can grade the result against what you know.
4 more scans that fit this role

Scenario

3 credits

Branches with their load-bearing assumptions named and the triggers that would select each. The scenario note a risk committee can check against events.

Try it on What if the Atlantic circulation weakens · What if home insurers leave Florida · What if the Colorado River runs short

Uncertainty Map

3 credits

Where the genuine uncertainty sits, separated from what the science has settled. It keeps the assessment on the open part.

Try it on Sea level rise on the US East Coast · Wildfire risk in Europe · Heat stress on grid reliability

Phenomenon

2 credits

The phenomenon read from the record: what is measured, how, by whom, what is projected and with what confidence. The hazard, described honestly.

Try it on Sea level rise · Atlantic hurricanes · Wildfire seasons · Urban heat islands

Solution / Intervention

2 credits

An intervention read as evidence: what it has demonstrated where, what is claimed, what is unknown. Managed retreat or a sea wall, graded.

Try it on Managed retreat · Flood insurance · Sea walls
A working path

From a first run to a result you can hand over

The order matters. The first read gives you the structure; the next ones fill the parts that are hardest to source by hand.

01

Run Risk Cascade on an exposure you already model

Read the cascade. If it walks from hazard to loss in the order your model does, it can do the first pass on the next exposure.

3 credits
02

Run Scenario on the shift your committee asks about

The named assumptions and triggers. The scenario note with its conditions visible.

3 credits
03

Run Solution and Intervention on the mitigation being proposed

What it has demonstrated and what is only claimed. The evidence page under the adaptation plan.

2 credits
04

Pin the triggers to your Watchboard

The scenario triggers become watched signals, so the assessment tells you which branch is unfolding.

Pinning is free; a check costs 2 credits when you ask for one.
The research bill for this path
3 + 3 + 2 = 8 credits · a Standard plan carries 20 a month
What comes back

A result whose claims carry their grades

Sourced, not asserted

Every figure and quote links to where it came from. A claim the scan could not source is marked as such rather than dressed up.

Verified or grounded
Reported or attributed
Contested
Open question

Ready to hand over

Export the cascade as a PDF for the risk committee, or share it as a page underwriters can open with each step sourced.

Built to be argued with

Ask a follow-up question of any result, or run a Red Team pass that tries to break its own conclusions before someone else does. How the grades work →

See one

Research already published in this shape

Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) — fire cloud

Read the research →

A pyrocumulonimbus — a thunderstorm generated by wildfire heat rather than atmospheric dynamics — has formed over Gironde in southwestern France for the first time in the country's recorded history, generating its own lightning, downdrafts…

Phenomenon · July 27, 2026
Try it

Run Risk Cascade on something you already know

The fastest way to judge the result is to pick a subject you know cold and read it against what you know. If a colleague sent you here with an invitation, the credits land on your account when you sign up.

Start with Risk Cascade →Standard plan from $10/mo · 20 credits · all plans
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